Molecular Nutrition

Accuracy Analysis of Prediction of Ruminal Volatile Fatty Acid Profiles in Chinese Lactating Dairy Cows by Stoichiometry Models

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  • 1. Institute of Subtropical Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changsha 410125, China;
    2. College of Animal Science and Technology, Hunan Agricultural University, Changsha 410128, China;
    3. Hunan Collaborative Innovation Center of Animal Production Safety, Changsha 410128, China

Received date: 2017-11-01

  Online published: 2018-05-06

Abstract

This study was conducted to evaluate the accuracy of models to predict ruminal volatile fatty acids (VFA) profiles in Chinese lactating dairy cows, and to analyze factors that affect the accuracy of the models. Three classical models of ruminal VFA stoichiometry were selected, which were MUR model, DIJ model and BAN model. The VFA data was selected from 18 articles of Chinese scientists, including 14 SCI articles, 3 articles from Chinese Core Journals and 1 unpublished manuscript, and data included diet, body weight, dry matter intake, feed additives, VFA proportions. Mean squared prediction error (MSPE) and consistent correlation coefficient (CCC) methods were employed to evaluate the prediction accuracy of MUR model, DIJ model and BAN model. The results showed as follow:BAN model had the highest prediction accuracy of acetate proportion (R2=0.140; P=0.007, RMSPE=6.8%), with overall bias being 47.8%. Propionate, butyrate and other acids proportions could not be predicted by the above three models. In conclusion, BAN model has highest prediction accuracy to predict acetate molar proportion among the three models, but the prediction accuracy is still low with the error mainly coming from the overall bias, and it is necessary to make use of more data to establish a VFA stoichiometry prediction model suitable for Chinese national conditions.

Cite this article

MAO Hongxiang, REN Ao, WANG Min, GAO Fengxian, ZHANG Xiumin, MAGN Zhiyuan, TAN Zhiliang . Accuracy Analysis of Prediction of Ruminal Volatile Fatty Acid Profiles in Chinese Lactating Dairy Cows by Stoichiometry Models[J]. Chinese Journal of Animal Nutrition, 2018 , 30(5) : 1748 -1759 . DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-267x.2018.05.017

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